Wednesday, January 6, 2010

Mortgage Refinance Rates Drop on Week

On Tuesday, Treasury bond prices rose, pushing yields to their lowest level since Christmas amid a slight up-tick in activity. This, as we know, is good for refinance mortgage rates and rates have dropped this week.

The key for future significant interest rate movement to the upside is to watch the yield on the 10-year Treasury. Any break above the 4.0 percent level could mean bad things as far as mortgage rates go.

As for the economy and the jobs front, ADP projected that non-farm payrolls will post an 84,000 decline in December, a touch worse-than-expected. Even so, the trend is positive and, despite month-to-month variations, ADP has tracked the official NFP change fairly well. Whether payrolls turned positive in December or not, they are headed for positive territory.

Pending home sales for November did not fare so well. The number of people preparing to buy a home fell sharply in November, an unsettling new sign that the housing market may be headed for a "double-dip" downturn over the winter. The National Association of Realtors said its seasonally adjusted index of sales contracts fell 16 percent from October to November, ending nine months of gains. Economists surveyed by Thomson Reuters had expected only a 2 percent drop. No doubt, the governments $8,000 tax credit expiration, then extension to this spring has played a major role in November’s pending sales housing numbers.

So, as the trend has gone, we are getting conflicting economic reports on some of the major areas affecting mortgages and mortgage rates.

In addition, the Federal Reserve has been busy buying up $1.25 trillion in mortgage-backed securities to help keep interest rates at or near record lows. This program almost single handedly brought the mortgage spread premium (and the rates offered to mortgage borrowers) down by a full percentage point. That program is scheduled to run out at the end of March, though a sudden jump in rates could force the Fed to extend it.

Refinance mortgage rates are still near historic lows, so there is still time to take advantage of the low rates. Just make sure to get a solid refinance pre-qualification to include your income, credit, and approximate home value before you jump in to the process. Those that are currently qualified stand to reap a financially significant benefit with low mortgage rates that may not be available again in the future.

If you are considering a home mortgage refinance now and need some help, have questions, or need some competitive refinance rate quotes, please check out the popular Refinance Tool Box. Just give a call at 888-850-9888 or fill out a Rate Quote Request online for professional assistance without the aggressive high-pressure sales tactics.

May the Mortgage Refinance Rates be with You!

Refinance Tool Box

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